Author: Dr. Jean-Paul Rodrigue
Urban land use reflects the location and level of spatial accumulation of activities such as retailing, management, manufacturing, or residence. They generate flows supported by transport systems.
1. The Land Use – Transport System
Urban areas are characterized by social, cultural, and economic activities taking place at separate locations forming an activity system. Some are routine activities, because they occur regularly and are thus predictable, such as commuting and shopping. There are also activities that tend to be irregular and shaped by lifestyle (e.g. sports and leisure) or by specific needs (e.g. healthcare). Such activities are usually related to the mobility of passengers. In addition, there are production activities that are related to manufacturing and distribution, whose linkages may be local, regional, or global. Such activities are usually associated with the mobility of freight. Since activities have a different location, their separation is a generator of movements of passengers and freight, which are supported by transportation. Therefore, transportation and land use are interrelated because of the locational and interactional nature of urban activities.
Most economic, social, or cultural activities imply a multitude of functions, such as production, consumption, and distribution. The urban land use is a highly heterogeneous space, and this heterogeneity is in part shaped by the transport system. There is a hierarchy in the distribution of urban activities where central areas have emerged because of economic (management and retail), political (seats of government), institutional (universities), or cultural factors (religious institutions). Central areas have a high level of spatial accumulation, and the corresponding land uses, such as retail. In contrast, peripheral areas have lower levels of accumulation corresponding to residential and warehousing areas.
The preferences of individuals, institutions, and firms have an imprint on land use in terms of their locational choice. The representation of this imprint requires a typology of land use, which can be formal or functional:
Formal land use representations are concerned with qualitative attributes of space such as its form, pattern, and aspect and are descriptive in nature.
Functional land use representations are concerned with the economic nature of activities such as production, consumption, residence, and transport, and are mainly a socioeconomic description of space.
At the global level, cities consume about 3% of the total landmass. Although the land use composition can vary considerably depending on the function of a city, residential land use is the most common, occupying between 65 and 75% of the footprint of a city. Commercial and industrial land uses occupy 5-15% and 15-25% of the footprint, respectively. There are also variations in the built-up areas that are commonly a function of density, level of automobile use, and planning practices. In automobile-dependent cities, 35 to 50% to land-use footprint is accounted for by roads and parking lots. Within a parking lot, about 40% of the surface is devoted to parking vehicles, while the remaining 60% is for circulation and access to individual parking spaces. These variations are the outcome of a combination of factors that reflect the unique geography, history, economy, and planning of each city.
Land use, both informal and functional representations, implies a set of relationships with other land uses. For instance, commercial land use involves relationships with its suppliers and customers. While relationships with suppliers will dominantly be related to the mobility of freight, relationships with customers would also include the mobility of people. Thus, a level of accessibility to both systems of circulation must be present for a functional transportation/land use system. Since each type of land use has its own specific mobility requirements, transportation is a factor of activity location.
Within an urban system, each activity occupies a suitable, but not necessarily optimal location, from which it derives rent. Transportation and land use interactions mostly consider the retroactive relationships between activities, which are land use related, and accessibility, which is transportation-related. These relationships have often been described as a classic “chicken-and-egg” problem since it is difficult to identify the cause of change; do transportation changes precede land-use changes or vice-versa? There is a scale effect at play in this relationship as large infrastructure projects tend to precede and trigger land-use changes. In contrast, small scale transportation projects tend to complement the existing land use pattern. Further, the expansion of urban land use takes place over various circumstances such as infilling (near the city center) or sprawl (far from the city center) and where transportation plays a different role in each case. For infilling, the value of land becomes high enough to justify developments despite potential congestion, while for sprawl, accessibility has improved enough to justify developments.
Urban transportation aims at supporting transport demands generated by the diversity of urban activities in a diversity of urban contexts. A key for understanding urban entities thus lies in the analysis of patterns and processes of the transport – land use system since the same processes may result in a different outcome. This system is highly complex and involves several relationships between the transport system, spatial interactions, and land use:
- Transport system. The transport infrastructures and modes that support the mobility of passengers and freight. It generally expresses the level of accessibility.
- Spatial interactions. The nature, extent, origins, and destinations of the urban mobility of passengers and freight. They take into consideration the attributes of the transport system as well as the land use factors that are generating and attracting movements.
- Land use. The level of spatial accumulation of activities and their associated levels of mobility requirements. Land use is commonly linked with demographic and economic attributes.
A conundrum concerns the difficulties of linking a specific transportation mode with specific land use patterns. While public transit systems tend to be associated with higher densities of residential and commercial activities and highways with lower densities, the multiplicity of modes available in urban areas, including freight distribution, conveys an unclear and complex relationship. Further, land use is commonly subject to zoning restrictions in terms of the type of activities that can be built as well as their density. Therefore, land use dynamics are influenced by planning restrictions and the urban governance structure.
2. Urban Land Use Models
The relationships between transportation and land use are rich in theoretical representations that have significantly contributed to regional sciences. They can be investigated empirically through the observation and analysis of real-world changes in the urban spatial structure. However, empirical investigations cannot readily be used for simulation and forecasting purposes. For that purpose, the relationships between transportation and land use can also be investigated through models trying to synthesize the spatial structure through a series of assumptions about urban dynamics.
Since transportation is a distance-decay altering technology, the spatial organization is assumed to be strongly influenced by the concepts of location and distance. Several descriptive and analytical urban land use models have been developed over time, with increased levels of complexity. All involve some consideration of transport in the explanations of urban land use structures. Changes are commonly the outcome of location decisions such as building a facility (residential building, warehouse, store, office tower, etc.) or a transportation infrastructure (road, transit line, port, airport, etc.).
a. Early models
Von Thunen’s regional land use model is the oldest representation based on a central place, the market town, and its concentric impacts on surrounding agricultural land use. The model was initially developed in the early 19th century (1826) for the analysis of agricultural land use patterns observed in Germany. The concept of economic rent is used to explain a spatial organization where different agricultural activities are competing for the usage of the available land. The closer a location is to the market, the lower the transportation cost and availability of land. The underlying principles of this model have been the foundation of many others, where economic considerations, namely land rent and distance-decay, are incorporated. The core assumption of the model is that agricultural land use is patterned in the form of concentric circles around a market that consumes all the surplus production, which must be transported. It is this transportation cost that bears the most influence for the purpose the land will be used. The closer the market, the higher the intensity and productivity of agricultural land use, such as dairy products and vegetables, while the further away, less intensive uses such as grain and livestock dominate. Many empirical concordances of this model have been found, notably in North America.
Another range of early models, such as Weber’s industrial location model developed in 1909, dealt with industrial location, in an attempt to minimize the total transportation costs of accessing raw materials and moving the output to the market, which indicated an optimal location for the activity to take place. The main principle explored by early models is that locational choice and the resulting land uses are primarily influenced by transportation costs. This assumption is not surprising since, in the late 19th Century and the early 20th Century, land transportation options were limited and of the relatively high cost.
b. Concentric urban land uses
The Burgess concentric model was among the first attempts to investigate spatial patterns at the urban level in the first quarter of the 20th century. Although the purpose of the model was to analyze social classes, it recognized that transportation and mobility were important factors shaping the spatial organization of urban areas and the distribution of residential choices. The formal land use representation of this model is derived from commuting distance from the central business district, creating concentric circles. Each circle represents a specific socioeconomic urban landscape. This model is conceptually a direct adaptation of the Von Thunen’s model to urban land use since it deals with a concentric representation, which considers a transportation trade-off between the cost of commuting and the cost of renting housing. Therefore, if the cost of commuting declines due to improvements (e.g. new transit lines), the outcome is that more people can afford to live further away, which results in urban sprawl. Even close to one century after the concentric urban model was developed, spatial changes in cities such as Chicago are still reflective of such a process.
c. Polycentric and zonal land uses
Sector and multiple nuclei land use models were developed to take into account numerous factors overlooked by concentric models, namely the influence of transport corridors (Hoyt, 1939) and multiple nuclei (Harris and Ullman, 1945) on land use and growth. Both representations consider the emerging impacts of motorization on the urban spatial structure, particularly through the beginning of suburbanization and the setting of polycentric cities. Such representations also consider that transportation infrastructures, particularly terminals such as rail stations or ports, occupy specific locations and are also land uses. In the second half of the 20th century, the construction of airport and container port complexes created new nodes around which urban land uses developed.
d. Hybrid land uses
Hybrid models are an attempt to include the concentric, sector, and nuclei behavior of different processes in explaining urban land use. They try to integrate the strengths of each approach since none of these appear to provide a completely satisfactory explanation. Thus, hybrid models, such as that developed by Isard (1956), consider the concentric effect of central locations (CBDs and sub-centers) and the radial effect of transport corridor, all overlaid to form a land use pattern. Hybrid representations are also suitable to explain the evolution of the urban spatial structure as they combine different spatial and temporal impacts of transportation on urban land use, such as concentric and radial impacts.
e. Land use market
Land rent theory was also developed to explain land use as an outcome of a market where different urban activities are competing to secure a footprint at a location. The theory is strongly based on the market principle of spatial competition where actors are bidding to secure and maintain their presence at a specific location. The more desirable a location is, the higher its rent value and the intensity of activities. Transportation, through accessibility and distance-decay, is a strong explanatory factor on the land rent and its impacts on land use. Conventional representations of land rent leaning on the concentric paradigm are being challenged by structural modifications of contemporary cities that were identified by hybrid models.
The applicability and dynamics of land use models are related to issues such as the history, size, and the locational setting of a city. For instance, concentric cities are generally older and of smaller size, while polycentric cities are larger and relate to urban developments that took place more recently. This also includes the impacts of public transit systems that can vary according to the level of automobile dependence. While most of the conceptual approaches related to the relationships between transportation and land use have been developed using empirical evidence related to North America and Western Europe, this perspective does not necessarily apply to other parts of the world.
Dualism has been observed in cities in developing economies where processes such as economic development and motorization are creating an urban landscape that is common in advanced economies. However, an informal landscape of shantytowns represents a land use structure that is not effectively captured by conventional land use models. It remains to be seen to what extent globalization will favor a convergence of land use patterns across the world’s cities. Irrespective of the urban context, standard technologies such as the automobile, construction techniques, information technologies, and managerial practices (e.g. urban planning or supply chain management) are likely to homogenize the land use structure of global cities.
3. Transportation and Urban Dynamics
Both land use and transportation are part of a dynamic system that is subject to external influences and internal changes. Each component of the system is continuously evolving due to changes in technology, policy, economics, demographics, and even culture or values. Since transportation infrastructure and real estate development require significant capital investments, understanding their dynamics is of high relevance for investors, developers, planners, and policymakers. As a result, the interactions between land use and transportation are played out as the outcome of the many decisions made by residents, businesses, and governments.
The field of urban dynamics has expanded the scope of conventional land use models, which tended to be descriptive, by trying to consider the relationships behind the evolution of the urban spatial structure. This focus has led to a complex modeling framework, including a wide variety of components such as the transportation network, housing locations, and workplaces. Among the concepts supporting urban dynamics are retroactions, whereby changes in one component will influence other associated components. As these related components change, there is a feedback effect on the initial component, which is either positive or negative. The most significant components of urban dynamics are:
- Land use. The most stable component of urban dynamics, as changes are likely to modify the land use structure over a rather long period of time. This is to be expected since most real estate is built to last at least several decades, and there are vested interests to amortize its usage over that period with minimal changes outside repairs and maintenance. The main impact of land use on urban dynamics is its function of a generator and attractor of movements.
- Transport networks. Networks are a rather stable component of urban dynamics, as transport infrastructures are built for the long term. This is particularly the case for large transport terminals and subway systems that can operate for decades. For instance, many railway stations and subway systems are more than one hundred years old and continue to influence the urban spatial structure. The main contribution of transport networks to urban dynamics is the provision of accessibility where changes will impact mobility.
- Movements (flows). The most dynamic component of the system since the mobility of passengers and freight reflects almost immediately changes in the supply or demand. Mobility thus tends more to be an outcome of urban dynamics than a factor shaping it.
- Employment and workplaces. They account for significant inducement effects over urban dynamics since many models often consider employment as an exogenous factor from which other aspects of the urban dynamics are derived. This is specifically the case for employment that is categorized as basic, or export-oriented, and which is linked with specific economic sectors such as manufacturing. Commuting is a direct outcome of the number of jobs and the location of workplaces.
- Population and housing. They act as the generators of movements because residential areas are generators of commuting flows. Since there is a wide array of incomes, standards of living, and preferences, this socioeconomic diversity is reflected in the urban spatial structure.
For representing complex urban dynamics, a number of transportation land use models have been developed, with the Lowry model among the first (1964). Its core assumption is that regional and urban growth (or decline) is a function of the expansion (or contraction) of the basic sector, which is represented as export-based employment that meets non-local demand. An urban area produces goods and services, which are exported. This employment is, in turn, having impacts on the employment of two other sectors; retail and residential. Its premises were expended by several other models, known as “Lowry-type” models that were applied to various cities. The core of these models relies on a regional economic forecast that predicts and assigns the location of the basic employment sector. As such, they are dependent on the reliability and accuracy of macro-economic and micro-economic indicators and forecasting. Such forecasting tends not to be very accurate as it does not capture well the impacts of economic, social, and technological changes, which also change the relevance of indicators.
Another line of models emerged in the 1990s with the rise of computing power. Cellular automata are dynamic land use models developed on the principle that space can be represented as a grid where each cell is a discrete land use unit. Cell states thus symbolize land uses, and transition rules express the likelihood of a change from one land use state to another. Because cells are symbolically connected and interrelated (e.g. adjacency), models can be used to investigate the dynamics, evolution, and self-organization of cellar automata land use systems. The cellular approach allows achieving a high level of spatial detail (resolution) and realism, as well as to link the simulation directly to visible outcomes on the regional spatial structure. They are also readily implementable since Geographic Information Systems are designed to work effectively with grid-based (raster) spatial representations. Cellular automata improve upon most transportation – land use models that are essentially static as they explain land use patterns. Still, they do not explicitly consider the processes that are creating or changing them.
The issue about how to articulate transportation and land use interactions remains, particularly in the current context of interdependence between local, regional, and global processes. There is also the risk of unintended consequences (unaccounted feedback) where a change may not result in an expected outcome. For instance, improving road transportation infrastructure can have the potential to create even more congestion as new users are attracted by the additional capacity. Globalization has substantially blurred the relationships between transportation and land use, as well as its dynamics. The primary paradigm is concerned with some factors once endogenous to a regional setting have become exogenous.
Many economic activities that provide employment and multiplying effects, such as manufacturing, are driven by forces that are global in scope and may have little to do with regional dynamics. For instance, capital investment in infrastructures and facilities could come from external sources, and the bulk of the output could be bound to international markets. In such a context, it would be challenging to explain urban development processes taking place in coastal Chinese cities, such as the Pearl River Delta, since export-oriented strategies are among the most significant driving forces. Looking at the urban dynamics of such a system from an endogenous perspective would fail to capture driving forces that are dominantly exogenous.
The relationships between transportation and land use that have been the focus of a long line of geographical representations, including models, are mainly driven by economic and technological changes. It is expected that ongoing changes related to digitalization, such as e-commerce, and automation in manufacturing and distribution, will continue to shape the urban spatial structure in the 21st Century.
- Transportation and the Urban Form
- Transportation / Land Use Modeling
- Urban Mobility
- Urban Transport Challenges
- Transportation, Land Use and the Environment
- Transport and Spatial Organization
- Transport and Location
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